The Sunni security alignment nobody planned, and the bloc taking shape
A war launched to eliminate a threat has produced something far more consequential: a Sunni security bloc whose strategic calculations increasingly extend beyond Iran
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The Baloch insurgency has mutated — and Pakistan is struggling to keep up
When a militant commander sends his own son to die in a suicide attack on Chinese engineers, something has fundamentally changed. The Baloch insurgency is no longer what it was
Iran’s Mosaic Defence: why the U.S.-Israeli air campaign is hitting smoke
Over a month into a campaign built on certainties, Washington and Tel Aviv have discovered that Iran’s Mosaic Defence does not simply survive decapitation strikes; it accelerates in their aftermath
Mali in the grip of hybrid warfare
Four months of asymmetric conflict: between September and December 2025, JNIM escalated its hybrid warfare strategy, targeting Mali’s economy, transport, and civilian life, demonstrating unprecedented control over resources and daily mobility
Saudi-Turkish defense partnership in a war of new rules
The U.S.–Israel war on Iran erupted the day after this analysis was first drafted. Every argument for the Saudi‑Turkish defense partnership stands. Every timeline has compressed
Selling sovereignty: What Turkish drones in Africa actually deliver
Türkiye’s Bayraktar now flies over 18 African countries. The “no strings” pitch is persuasive, the export numbers are real—and the fine print on sovereignty is worth reading
Shadows of espionage over Chinese investments in Greece
Rising security scrutiny around Chinese-linked investments is reshaping Greece’s port and shipping landscape, as an espionage case injects geopolitical risk into markets already navigating shifting EU and transatlantic investment priorities
“Charlie Hebdo”: Memory, freedom, responsibility
Eleven years after the “Charlie Hebdo” attack, Europe remembers the victims and reaffirms a principled commitment to free expression, secular democracy, and the rule of law in the face of violent extremism globally
The Atlantic’s dark current: West Africa cocaine trafficking by Balkan cartels
A covert alliance between Balkan cartels and West African networks has transformed the Atlantic into a key corridor for global cocaine trafficking, exposing new fault lines in governance, security, and international trade
EU Defence Readiness 2030: Brussels just gave Moscow a five-year head start
The European Commission unveiled its Defence Readiness Roadmap 2030, outlining a five-year plan to bolster EU military preparedness—a move analysts say inadvertently informs Moscow of Europe’s readiness schedule and capability priorities