Decks and Deals Weekly #8
Global shipping rates crashed to 20-month lows between August 30 and September 5, while POSCO eyes $5 billion HMM acquisition and Trump threatens tariffs over IMO emissions deal
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GeoTrends Team
The dragon’s Turkish rehearsal
Türkiye’s coercive experiments in maritime claims, proxies, and ports provide the beta version of a playbook now scaled by China, serving as a warning that coercion shapes power long before shots are fired
Decoding China’s military power
China’s military rise is reshaping global security. Drawing on FOI’s 2025 report, this article outlines an analytical framework to assess the PLA’s evolution and its strategic implications worldwide
COSCO Shipping outpaces rivals in Q2
While Maersk and MSC dominate headlines, COSCO shipping delivers superior profit margins and volume growth, positioning itself as Asia’s maritime powerhouse through strategic hub expansion and operational excellence
How China, India and Russia are rewriting global power rules
Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin and Narendra Modi’s impromptu huddle at the SCO summit signals a new geopolitical alliance that challenges Western dominance while reshaping international relations through economic cooperation and strategic coordination
Selective engagement: Rethinking Canada–China relations
Canada–China relations stand at a crossroads. Selective engagement offers a pragmatic path that balances sovereignty, security, and economic opportunity, guiding Ottawa through intensifying global rivalry without surrendering autonomy
The Dragon’s digital tentacles: Securing Europe’s underbelly
China’s infrastructure investments in Europe’s Southeastern Periphery, though seemingly civilian, increasingly raise security concerns. This excerpt from a new study reveals Beijing’s strategic leverage through dual-use capabilities, challenging Western paradigms
Decks and Deals Weekly #7
From August 23–29, 2025, maritime markets weathered a perfect storm as freight rates collapsed, regulators detonated bombshells, billion-dollar bets reshaped fleets, and geopolitical flashpoints kept global shipping on the edge
Why Türkiye African engagement is Africa’s next geopolitical wild card
Türkiye African engagement reshapes power dynamics across the continent, blending trade, military cooperation, and diplomacy, while African states leverage Ankara’s presence to diversify partnerships beyond traditional Western and Eastern influences
Serbia’s concrete crisis: How Chinese influence sparked a political uprising
On November 1, 2024, Novi Sad station’s roof collapsed, killing 16. The disaster exposed deep social fractures and sparked political and geopolitical conflict, with Chinese influence at the heart of public anger