The Mecca Pact meets the Hellenic triangle, and both want Cairo
The Mecca Pact gave the Sunni bloc a treaty. Across the water, Greece, Israel and Cyprus already run one of their own. Egypt sits between them, and NATO underwrites neither
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PAKISTAN
The Sunni security alignment nobody planned, and the bloc taking shape
A war launched to eliminate a threat has produced something far more consequential: a Sunni security bloc whose strategic calculations increasingly extend beyond Iran
The limits of nuclear deterrence: Russia–Ukraine, Israel–Gaza, Israel–Iran, India–Pakistan
Nuclear deterrence no longer guarantees security: recent conflicts reveal its limits, as both states and non-state actors increasingly bypass the restraining power of nuclear arsenals
Saudi-Turkish defense partnership in a war of new rules
The U.S.–Israel war on Iran erupted the day after this analysis was first drafted. Every argument for the Saudi‑Turkish defense partnership stands. Every timeline has compressed
South Asia’s structural collapse reshapes regional order
The May 2025 India–Pakistan conflict marks far more than a military skirmish. It signals the unraveling of post-independence regional architecture, with South Asian geopolitics entering a new era of fragmentation, economic strain, and great power competition that will define the subcontinent for decades
Security architecture crumbles as new regional alliances emerge
Israel’s Doha strike triggered tectonic changes across MENA, exposing Arab disunity while Saudi–Pakistan and Egypt–Türkiye partnerships reshape regional security architecture fundamentally
The Riyadh–Islamabad entente: A new geopolitical equation
Saudi Arabia and Pakistan have forged a mutual defense pact, a development reshaping global power dynamics. This alliance signals a recalibration of regional security, with profound implications for major international players