When these wars end…
The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are accelerating a historic redistribution of power, ensuring that the world emerging from these conflicts will look nothing like the one we know today
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UNITED STATES
The future has no flag: the U.S.–China rivalry beyond the hype
Every few years, a confident essay declares the U.S.–China rivalry already settled in America’s favor. The claim feels reassuring. It also misreads where real power now grows
The Eastern Mediterranean’s new map: the corridors are slow, the claims are not
A bipartisan U.S. bill naming Greece, Cyprus, Israel, and Egypt has gained momentum as Türkiye answers with rival corridors, maritime claims, and a Blue Homeland bill — while infrastructure remains unfinished and legal geography hardens across the Eastern Mediterranean
Trump–Xi summit: no news is big news — and why Thucydides was never the trapper
The Trump–Xi summit became historic precisely because almost nothing happened, exposing a transformed balance of power and challenging the increasingly ritualistic misuse of the so-called “Thucydides Trap”
The strait that taught the markets to fear shadows
The Strait of Hormuz no longer shapes markets through disruption alone. It shapes them through anticipation, hesitation, memory, and the rising global cost of uncertainty
The United States’ U-turn on values, priorities, and ideology under Trump: can it be trusted?
Can the United States truly reverse the ideological architecture it spent decades constructing, or is Trump’s “U-turn” merely a strategic rebranding of enduring American hegemony and geopolitical continuity?
China delivered, America is still counting: what Q1 2026 GDP reveals about the new global order
China has posted 5% growth for Q1 2026. America’s figure arrives on April 30. But every leading indicator is already pointing downward. The gap between the two economies is widening, and it is not temporary
Iran’s Mosaic Defence: why the U.S.-Israeli air campaign is hitting smoke
Over a month into a campaign built on certainties, Washington and Tel Aviv have discovered that Iran’s Mosaic Defence does not simply survive decapitation strikes; it accelerates in their aftermath
America’s war of choice: A nuclear deal was “within reach” — then the bombs fell
Diplomacy was hours from a breakthrough when the bombs fell. Congress was bypassed, oil markets jolted, allies blindsided, and the endgame undefined. A war of choice began without a mandate, without clarity, and without consensus
The Iranian trap: Neither military action nor nuclear negotiations can solve Trump’s (and Israel’s) conundrum
After a failed regime-change strategy and an increasingly risky military buildup, the Trump administration turns back to nuclear negotiations with Iran—yet structural incompatibilities and Israeli opposition render both diplomacy and war perilous options