Decks and Deals Weekly #40
The period 20–25 April 2026 produced the most intense maritime standoff since the tanker wars of the 1980s: the Hormuz blockade turned fully kinetic, Brent crossed $100, and six vessels were seized
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IRGC
One nautical mile
Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz open for commercial shipping — then reversed course thirty hours later. The Notice to Mariners it published tells a different story than the headlines did
Iran’s Mosaic Defence: why the U.S.-Israeli air campaign is hitting smoke
Over a month into a campaign built on certainties, Washington and Tel Aviv have discovered that Iran’s Mosaic Defence does not simply survive decapitation strikes; it accelerates in their aftermath
The Iranian trap: Neither military action nor nuclear negotiations can solve Trump’s (and Israel’s) conundrum
After a failed regime-change strategy and an increasingly risky military buildup, the Trump administration turns back to nuclear negotiations with Iran—yet structural incompatibilities and Israeli opposition render both diplomacy and war perilous options
Israel’s attack on Iran: A closer look at the regional level and its context
Israel’s Operation Rising Lion continues a decades-long pattern of pre-emptive military strikes, targeting nuclear ambitions of regional adversaries and revealing enduring power dynamics behind shifting ideological and geopolitical narratives in the Middle East