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GLOBAL TRADE

Minimalist maritime scene showing calm open water with aligned navigation buoys under hazy daylight and no vessels in transit

Fleets change routes, insurers cut cover and war risk premiums surge

Shipping companies, insurers and energy traders are already changing operational behaviour as Middle East tensions disrupt routes, tighten insurance conditions and increase costs across the global maritime system, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea

Empty automated container terminal at dusk with towering cranes, reflective concrete lanes and a distant cargo vessel on the horizon

When shipping changes course without us realising it

A shift that begins as a whisper and ends up transforming the entire game is quietly reshaping shipping’s logic, competitiveness and strategic architecture, as connectivity, collaboration and adaptive capability increasingly replace traditional models of maritime strength

Container ship navigating rough seas at dusk under dark clouds, with waves and low light creating a tense maritime atmosphere

The end of free navigation

From the pandemic to the Black Sea, the Red Sea, and now the Strait of Hormuz, the sea is no longer the stable space of circulation that global trade once took for granted