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The week before Christmas offered few miracles but plenty of action. Container rates continued their inexplicable climb, the Houthis remained a stubbornly expensive problem, and Greece decided to start building ships again. Just another week in shipping

Maritime Industry | by
GeoTrends Team
GeoTrends Team
A weathered red wooden boat bow resting in shallow water by a sandy shore, with rocky coastline and blue sky behind
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No quiet endings here: markets defy calendars, risks linger, and old maritime powers reposition, setting foundations for the year ahead
Home » Decks and Deals Weekly #24

Decks and Deals Weekly #24

Another week, another masterclass in defying expectations. For anyone hoping for a quiet slide into the new year, the global shipping industry, in its infinite wisdom, decided otherwise.

The period between December 21st and 27th saw less winding down and more aggressive stage-setting for 2026. Container rates rallied. The Houthis stayed expensive. Greece started building ships. These aren’t isolated incidents but interconnected global shipping developments that merit a closer look, preferably with a strong cup of tea and a healthy dose of skepticism.

The container market’s curious Christmas rally

Just when the market seemed to have priced in the holiday season, container rates went on another run. For the fourth consecutive week, the numbers climbed. The Drewry World Container Index (WCI), a widely watched benchmark, posted a 1% gain. The average cost for a 40-foot box reached $2,213. That’s respectable, given the usual year-end slowdown. Carriers, it seems, postponed the traditional holiday lull. Presumably by committee.

The Asia–Europe trade lane drove this growth. Rates from Shanghai to Genoa jumped 3%. Shanghai to Rotterdam climbed 2%. One might call it a Christmas bonus for carriers—had they not managed capacity so thoroughly. Transpacific routes held steady. Shanghai to New York: $3,293. Shanghai to Los Angeles: $2,474. Stability, not chaos.

Why the rally? Two factors. First, sustained demand. Second, early bookings for the pre-Lunar New Year rush in February 2026. Carriers learned lessons from the post-pandemic slump. They manage capacity with finesse now. Blank sailings deploy with surgical precision. The result: a market showing surprising price discipline. Far from the dizzying nonsense of 2021, but solid nonetheless.

Market take: Don’t pop the champagne. This rally provides welcome revenue for carriers. But the bloated order book and overcapacity remain. This reprieve is temporary. Enjoy it while it lasts.

A rather expensive ghost haunting the Red Sea

Meanwhile, in the Red Sea, the Houthi threat persists. The Pentagon spent over $1 billion on Operation Rough Rider. The Yemeni faction remains potent. They disrupt one of the world’s most critical waterways with ease. The May 2025 agreement proved useless. It graciously permitted them to attack any non-American vessel. Since then, they launched over 150 projectiles. They sank two commercial vessels. The shipping industry now endures a constant, low-grade headache.

Why? There’s no easy military fix. The U.S. and allies intercept drones and missiles. But this is whack-a-mole with endless mallets. Iran supplies the Houthis. More airstrikes won’t solve this. The industry must price this into risk models now. This is a geopolitical fixture. One of the most stubborn global shipping developments of the year.

Market take: The Red Sea is now a permanent high-risk zone. Insurance premiums stay elevated. Operational costs climb. Carriers weigh diversion costs against attack risk. This is simply the cost of business now.

Testing the waters: Big boxships return to Suez

But here’s where the story takes an interesting turn. While Houthi threats remain real, the ceasefire in Gaza since October 10 has created an opening. No new attacks since then. Shipping lines smell opportunity. They’re testing the Suez Canal again.

On December 23, the CMA CGM Jacques Saade transited southbound. This ship stretches 400 meters. It carries 23,000 containers. It’s LNG-powered. It’s also the largest containership to use the Suez in two years. The same day, the CMA CGM Adonis (15,500 TEU) passed northbound. Days earlier, Maersk’s Sebarok (6,500 TEU) completed the first Red Sea transit in nearly two years.

These aren’t casual moves. CMA CGM plans to resume its India–U.S. INDAMEX service through the canal starting January. Maersk, by contrast, proceeds cautiously. It describes its approach as “stepwise.” The French are aggressive. The Danes are careful. Both are testing the waters.

Why does this matter? The Suez handles roughly 12% of global seaborne trade. It’s the fastest link between Asia and Europe. When it closed, carriers diverted around Africa’s Cape of Good Hope. That added weeks to voyages. It drove freight rates up. Now, the canal’s return could reshape trade flows and carrier economics.

Egypt sees this too. The Suez Canal Authority reported the highest monthly return rate in November. Admiral Ossama Rabiee predicts normal traffic levels by the second half of 2026. But challenges persist. War-risk insurance premiums remain elevated. Security analysts warn the threat has eased, not disappeared.

Market take: The Suez’s comeback is real but fragile. CMA CGM’s aggressive scheduling suggests confidence. Maersk’s caution suggests prudence. For Egypt, this is crucial—canal tolls fund the state. For carriers, it’s a calculation: diversion costs versus insurance premiums. The real test comes if attacks resume. For now, it’s a tentative step toward normalcy.

A spotlight on Greek shipping

While the world watched container rates and Red Sea drones, Greece delivered the most significant global shipping developments of the week. The nation’s dormant shipbuilding industry roared back to life. This is historic.

ONEX Shipyards, at the revitalized Elefsina yard, secured a landmark agreement with MEGATUGS. They’ll construct two state-of-the-art tugboats. This is the first commercial newbuild contract Greece awarded in several decades. The U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) provided $125 million in financing. The project signals a strategic deepening of the U.S.–Greece alliance. It also de-risks European shipbuilding from Asian concentration.

For a nation that owns more ships than any other, building them domestically is powerful. This contract opens doors for future orders. OSVs. Small tankers. Potentially even defence-adjacent platforms. Greece positions itself as a credible alternative to Asian yards for specialized, high-value tonnage. Someone decided that owning the assets wasn’t enough. Building them is the next logical step.

The Greek shipping community gathered for the 22nd Lloyd’s List Greek Shipping Awards. Maria Angelicoussis won Greek Shipping Personality of the Year. The Angelicoussis Group delivered an exceptional 2025. They acquired Altera Shuttle Tankers for $2 billion. That’s their largest transaction ever. Industrial rebirth meets commercial dominance.

The Alafouzos-led Okeanis Eco Tankers secured $90 million in financing. They’re building two new Suezmaxes. This narrative of confident expansion continues. These are global shipping developments driven from the Aegean shores.

Market take: Greek shipbuilding’s re-emergence is a long-term story. It won’t challenge Asian giants overnight. But it adds a new dimension to the European maritime landscape. For Greek shipowners, it offers a domestic alternative. For the world, it’s a reminder: Greece’s maritime influence runs deep.

Key takeaways

The final week of 2025 mirrored the industry’s current state. Commercial opportunism clashes with geopolitical friction. Long-term strategic repositioning unfolds. The key takeaway: the industry adapts. It capitalizes on short-term demand surges. It revives decades-old industrial bases. Shipping remains relentlessly resourceful. The most crucial of all global shipping developments is this very adaptability. The year ahead will test it further. It will be fascinating to watch.